Louisiana this winter: El Niño plan for floods, storms, outages
<!-- Drafter notes (US-LA, 2026-11-05, quote pass). Every factual sentence below is an exact quote from the page it links, and each quote is a claim cell of research/sources/US-LA.csv for that URL (http_status=200, checked 2026-11-05). No phone number is copied from the GOHSEP parish contacts page (W11). ready.gov and louisiana211.org are not cited. Water per day and days of food are not stated for a general household kit (see Gaps). Costs stay in the table (W9). No NFIP calendar date in prose: the checklist page carries the key date nfip-authority-2026-12-11 (W4). --> Follow your local authorities. In an emergency call 999/911.
This page is about this winter's risks: rain floods, tornado warnings and power cuts. It puts the steps in the order to do them and links the official page for each. The full costed checklist for a family of four is on the Louisiana checklist page.
What El Niño changes in Louisiana
NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) discussion dated 8 October 2026 says: "El Niño continues to strengthen, with a strong-to-very strong El Niño likely through January-March 2027 (remaining greater than an 83% chance)." (NOAA CPC, ENSO Diagnostic Discussion). We do not add odds of our own. For the national picture, see Is El Niño coming to my state?.
The next three statements are regional (the Gulf Coast and the Deep South), not a Louisiana forecast. NOAA Climate.gov says: "The most reliable of these signals (the one that has been observed most frequently) is wetter-than-average conditions along the Gulf Coast from Texas to Florida during this 6-month period." (NOAA Climate.gov, US El Niño impacts). The National Weather Service office in Jackson says: "El Niño episodes generally mean wetter and cooler weather during the winter and spring for the Deep South." (NWS Jackson, El Niño and La Niña). The office in Tallahassee says: "The Gulf Coast generally sees cooler and wetter conditions, not because of numerous arctic outbreaks, but because of the stronger influence of the subtropical jet stream." and "Storm tracks are farther south on average, producing more clouds, rain, and severe weather." (NWS Tallahassee, El Niño page).
The hazards that matter this winter
- Rain floods. "During a flood, water levels and the rate the water is flowing can quickly change." "It only takes 6 inches of moving water to knock you off your feet." "12 inches of water can float a car or small SUV, 18 inches of water can carry away large vehicles." (NWS, During a Flood).
- Tornado warnings. "Tornado Watch: Be Prepared! Tornadoes are possible in and near the watch area." "Tornado Warning: Take Action! A tornado has been sighted or indicated by weather radar." "Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows." (NWS, Understand Tornado Alerts).
- Power cuts and carbon monoxide. "When power outages occur during emergencies such as hurricanes or winter storms, the use of alternative sources of fuel or electricity for heating, cooling, or cooking can cause CO to build up in a home, garage, or camper and to poison the people and animals inside." (CDC, power outages).
Your plan, in order
Now
- Alerts. "WEA messages include a special tone and vibration, both repeated twice." "No signup is required! Alerts are sent automatically to WEA-capable phones during an emergency." (NWS, Wireless Emergency Alerts). In New Orleans, the city says: "Get emergency information directly from the City of New Orleans." and "Sign up online or text NOLAREADY to 77295" (NOLA Ready, emergency alerts).
- A weather radio. "NWR broadcasts official Weather Service warnings, watches, forecasts and other hazard information 24 hours a day, 7 days a week." (NOAA Weather Radio). GOHSEP's kit list includes "Battery-powered radio" (GOHSEP, Family Plan).
- Your local forecast office. The National Weather Service pages for Louisiana are headed "Weather Forecast Office New Orleans/Baton Rouge" (NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge), "Lake Charles, LA" (NWS Lake Charles) and "Shreveport, LA" (NWS Shreveport).
- An evacuation plan. GOHSEP says: "Prepare a personal evacuation plan." "Identify ahead of time where you could go if you are told to evacuate. Choose several places- a friend's home in another town, a motel or a shelter." "Keep handy the telephone numbers of these places as well as a road map of your locality." (GOHSEP, Family Plan).
- Your flood risk. The National Weather Service asks: "Is your home, business or school in a floodplain? Where is water likely to collect on the roadways you most often travel? What is the fastest way to get to higher ground?" and adds: "Knowing the answers to these questions ahead of time can save your life." (NWS, Before a Flood).
- Insurance. See the insurance paragraph below.
Within 2 weeks
- Water. GOHSEP's emergency kit list includes "At least three gallons of water per person" (GOHSEP, Family Plan). The checklist page shows the quantity for a family of four.
- Food. GOHSEP's kit list includes "Canned food and non-electric can opener" and "High energy foods - peanut butter, jelly, crackers, etc" (GOHSEP, Family Plan).
- Medicines. GOHSEP's kit list includes "First aid kit and essential medications-prescription medications and list of medications for each person" (GOHSEP, Family Plan). The CDC says: "An emergency can make it difficult for them to refill their prescription or to find an open pharmacy." and "Talk to your doctor or pharmacist about how you can create an emergency supply of medicines." (CDC, Prescriptions).
- Light, warmth and papers. GOHSEP's kit list includes "Flashlight", "Extra Batteries", "Clothing and bedding: a change of clothes, footwear and a sleeping bag or bedroll and pillow for each household member" and "Important papers to take with you in a portable, waterproof container:" (GOHSEP, Family Plan).
- Carbon monoxide. "Install battery-operated or battery back-up CO detectors near every sleeping area in your home." "Only use generators outside, more than 20 feet away from any windows, doors, and vents." "The most common symptoms of CO poisoning are headache, dizziness, weakness, upset stomach, vomiting, chest pain, and confusion." (CDC, carbon monoxide). The Consumer Product Safety Commission says: "Install battery-operated CO alarms or CO alarms with battery backup on every level of the home and outside sleeping areas." (CPSC, Carbon Monoxide Information Center).
- Medical equipment. GOHSEP says: "Register with your local power company." "Make prior arrangements with your physician and medical supplier if you require medical devices that operate on electricity." "If you require oxygen, check with your supplier about emergency plans." (GOHSEP, Family Plan).
- Pets. "Important items concerning pets to take along during an evacuation: health records, 3-day food and water supply, pet carriers, leashes, harnesses, muzzles, special medications." (GOHSEP, Family Plan).
- Sandbags. GOHSEP says: "If flooding is expected, consider using sandbags to keep water away from your home." "It takes two people about one hour to fill and place 100 sandbags, giving you a wall one foot high and 20 feet long." (GOHSEP, Family Plan).
- Water notices and treating water. The CDC says: "You cannot make water containing fuel, toxic chemicals, or radioactive materials safe by boiling or disinfecting it." "Bring clear water to a rolling boil for 1 minute (at elevations above 6,500 feet, boil for 3 minutes)." (CDC, water emergencies). For how to disinfect water with bleach, and the amounts, read the CDC page above.
When a warning is issued
- The words. "Flood Watch: Be Prepared: A Flood Watch is issued when conditions are favorable for a specific hazardous weather event to occur. A Flood Watch is issued when conditions are favorable for flooding." "Flood Warning: Take Action! A Flood Warning is issued when the hazardous weather event is imminent or already happening. A Flood Warning is issued when flooding is imminent or occurring." (NWS, Flood Watch vs Warning). More in Watch vs warning.
- Flash flood. "Flash Flood Warning: Take Action! A Flash Flood Warning is issued when a flash flood is imminent or occurring. If you are in a flood prone area move immediately to high ground." (NWS, Flood Watch vs Warning).
- Evacuation. "Get to Higher Ground: If you live in a flood prone area or are camping in a low lying area, get to higher ground immediately." "Obey Evacuation Orders: If told to evacuate, do so immediately. Lock your home when you leave. If you have time, disconnect utilities and appliances." (NWS, During a Flood).
- Tornado Warning. "At Your House : If you are in a tornado warning, go to your basement, safe room, or an interior room away from windows. Don't forget pets if time allows." (NWS, What to do During a Tornado).
- Manufactured homes, tents and vehicles. "Sheds and storage facilities are not safe. Neither is a mobile home or tent." (NWS, What to do During a Tornado). "If in a mobile home, a vehicle, or outdoors, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris." (NWS, Understand Tornado Alerts).
During
- Flooded roads. "Do NOT drive into flooded roadways or around a barricade; Turn Around, Don't Drown!" "Don't walk through flood waters." "Stay out of water that may have electricity in it!" (NWS, During a Flood).
- Outage food rule. "Keep refrigerator and freezer doors closed." "If the doors stay closed, food will stay safe up to: 4 hours in a refrigerator, 48 hours in a full freezer, 24 hours in a half-full freezer." (CDC, food safety after an emergency).
- Keeping warm. "Never use a gas range or oven to heat a home." "Never use a charcoal grill, hibachi, lantern, or portable camping stove inside a home, tent, or camper." (CDC, power outages).
- Generators. "Never use a generator inside your home or garage, even if doors and windows are open." (CDC, carbon monoxide). "When using a generator, use a battery-powered or battery backup CO detector in your home." (CDC, power outages).
After
- "Floodwaters often become contaminated with sewage or chemicals." "Authorities may ask you to boil water for a while after a flood." "Do not enter a flood damaged home or building until you're given the All Clear by authorities." "Make sure the electrical system has been turned off. Have the power company or a qualified electrician fix wires." "Contact your insurance agent to discuss property damage." (NWS, After a Flood).
- Food after an outage: "Throw out perishable food in your refrigerator (meat, fish, cut fruits and vegetables, eggs, milk, and leftovers) after 4 hours without power or without a cold source like ice." "You can safely refreeze or cook thawed frozen food that still contains ice crystals or is at 40 °F or below." (CDC, food safety after an emergency).
Alerts and who to call
| For | Contact, as printed on the source | Source | |---|---|---| | Carbon monoxide poisoning | "call 911 or your local Poison Control Center at 1-800-222-1222" | CDC | | New Orleans emergency alerts | "Sign up online or text NOLAREADY to 77295" | NOLA Ready | | Parish emergency management | The state office lists them on its "Parish OHSEP Contacts" page (we copy no numbers, see the gaps) | GOHSEP |
Insurance in one paragraph
FloodSmart.gov, the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) site, says: "Most homeowners and renters insurance does not cover flood damage." and "Your flood insurance coverage will go into effect 30 days after your date of purchase. There are four exceptions to this rule:" (FloodSmart, buy a policy). The National Weather Service says: "Since standard homeowners insurance doesn't cover flooding, ensure coverage by contacting your insurance company or agent to purchase flood insurance." (NWS, Before a Flood). The Louisiana checklist page shows the NFIP date to check and what to check before you buy or renew.
More guides
- Louisiana checklist, family of four
- Is El Niño coming to my state?
- Watch vs warning
- Evacuation terms
- Questions before you start (US)
Gaps we know about
- A Louisiana-only El Niño outlook. The El Niño lines above are Gulf Coast and Deep South statements from Climate.gov and the Jackson and Tallahassee offices. We found no quotable winter outlook from the Louisiana forecast offices, and the CPC discussion has no Louisiana-specific text. We give no Louisiana flood, storm or tornado probability.
- Ready.gov and Red Cross pages. Both returned 403 on 2026-11-05 and are not cited. Several table rows rely on them, so this page states no water storage rule beyond what GOHSEP and the CDC print, and no stored-water replacement interval.
- How many days of food and water. We quote GOHSEP's kit list ("At least three gallons of water per person") but state no water-per-day figure and no number of days of food for a general household kit. We state no single total of days.
- Kit items without a source. We found no 200 official page for power banks, a whistle, or a count of blankets and clothes per person, so none is given.
- State flood-insurance and water-notice rules. The Louisiana Department of Insurance and the Louisiana Department of Health returned 403 or no response, and the FEMA flood-insurance pages returned 403. Only the federal NFIP text from FloodSmart and the NWS is used. Confirm the current NFIP status with your insurer or agent.
- Parish emergency-management numbers. The GOHSEP parish contacts page is reachable, but we copied no numbers from it. Use that page and check the number yourself.
- Statewide help line. We do not cite a statewide 211 service on this page.
- Utility outage numbers. We did not cite a utility outage contact page, so no outage number is given. Check your own utility's website.
- Evacuation routes and shelters for winter floods. The GOHSEP plan page is written around hurricanes. We found no state page on winter-flood evacuation, so none is given.
- Costs. We list no prices on this page. The checklist page holds the cost figures.