El Niño household prep

North West England winter plan: floods, storms, power cuts

Last reviewed: 5 Nov 2026

<!-- Drafter notes (UK-TLD, 2026-11-05, quote pass). Every factual sentence below is an exact quote from the page it links, and each quote is a claim cell of research/sources/UK-TLD.csv for that URL (http_status=200, checked 2026-11-05). Phone numbers and their labels are copied as printed (W11); the headings "Floodline", "After a flood, you can stay healthy by:" and "How to prevent carbon monoxide poisoning" are claim rows of their own (fetched with plain curl, 200, 2026-11-05). The Met Office 3-month Outlook is quoted with its issue date as printed (26.10.2026). Not-official sources (Red Cross, Electricity North West, PSR, United Utilities, Flood Re) are named as such in the text. No cost, no litre total for the household, no Ofgem announcement date in prose (W4, W6, W9): the checklist page carries the key date and the costs. Ofgem's figure is quoted with its period. The Irwell Vale check-for-flooding row is a snapshot and is not used. Brief rows with no quotable source are in Gaps. Fix round 1 (2026-11-05) applied the reviewer's W1/W7 items. --> Follow your local authorities. In an emergency call 999/911.

This page puts the steps in the order to do them and points to the official tool for each. The full costed checklist for a family of four is on the North West England checklist page.

What El Niño may change this winter (UK-wide)

These Met Office statements are for the UK as a whole. The Met Office 3-month Outlook, issued 26.10.2026, says: "There is double the likelihood of a wet 3-month period compared to normal" and "Windy weather and storms are more likely than usual" (Met Office, 3-month Outlook, issued 26.10.2026).

The Met Office also says: "El Niño years are one factor that can increase the risk of colder winters in the UK." (Met Office, El Niño and La Niña). We add no odds of our own. For the whole of the UK see the UK hub and the plan for both outcomes.

The hazards that matter this winter

Your plan, in order

Now

  1. Know your risk. "The people most at risk of flooding are those who live in a flood risk area." (Be Ready, flooding). The Environment Agency's service says: "You may be at long term flood risk from rivers, the sea, surface water or groundwater." (Check for flooding). Its England tool is headed "Check the long term flood risk for an area in England" (GOV.UK, check long term flood risk).
  2. Sign up for flood warnings. "Use this service to get flood warnings from the Environment Agency if your home or organisation in England is at risk of flooding. The service is free." (GOV.UK, get flood warnings). The alerts page is headed "Get flood warnings by phone, text or email" (Check for flooding, alerts and warnings).
  3. Make a flood plan. "If you live in a flood risk area, do what you can now to prepare for a flood. Don’t wait until it happens; you may not have time." (GOV.UK, personal flood plan).
  4. Join the Priority Services Registers if you may need extra help. Ofgem says: "Find out more about joining your energy supplier or network operator’s Priority Services Register, and the extra help you’ll get." (Ofgem, Priority Services Register). The industry-run PSR site says: "The Priority Services Register (PSR) is a free service across England, Scotland and Wales that gives extra support to customers who may need it." (The PSR). Electricity North West says: "If a power cut happens, you might need some extra help. Our free Extra Care Register makes it easier to access the support you may need." (Electricity North West, Extra Care). United Utilities says: "Priority Services is free and could help you, your family or your friends benefit from additional support from us so we can respond quickly to those particular needs" (United Utilities, priority services).
  5. Ask about insurance. See "Insurance in one paragraph" below. Greater Manchester Combined Authority says: "Get insurance if you can." (GMCA, flooding).
  6. Check your energy bills. Ofgem says: "Energy regulator Ofgem has today (Wednesday 26 August) announced a 4% increase of the energy price cap for the period covering 1 October to 31 December 2026." (Ofgem press release, 26 August 2026). The checklist page shows when the next cap is announced. GOV.UK says: "If you’re eligible, your electricity supplier will apply the discount to your bill." (GOV.UK, Warm Home Discount). The NHS page is headed "Keep warm and get help with heating" (NHS, keep warm, keep well).

Within 2 weeks

  1. Water. The British Red Cross kit list says: "Three days' supply of drinking water, in case a power cut, drought or flood disrupts the water supply." "Drinking water, enough for three days, allowing around 2.5 to 3 litres per person per day." "To include basic cooking, washing and hygiene, this can increase to around 10 litres per person per day." (British Red Cross, emergency kit). The checklist page shows the quantity for a family of four.
  2. Food. The same Red Cross list includes: "Three days' supply of long-life or ready-to-eat food." and "Tin opener." (British Red Cross, emergency kit).
  3. Light. "Torch and spare batteries, in case of a power cut." (British Red Cross, emergency kit). "Use battery-powered or wind-up torches for lighting. Avoid using candles where possible as they increase the risk of fire." (British Red Cross, power cuts). "Keep a battery or wind-up torch (and spare batteries) at home. Torches are safer than candles." (Be Ready, power cuts).
  4. Carbon monoxide alarms. The NHS page section "How to prevent carbon monoxide poisoning" says: "get a carbon monoxide alarm that makes a loud sound if there's carbon monoxide present – get 1 for each room of your home containing appliances that burn gas, oil, coal or wood" (NHS, carbon monoxide poisoning).
  5. Write down the numbers. "Write down important phone numbers, including 105, your network operator and emergency contacts." (British Red Cross, power cuts).
  6. Medicines and baby feeds. "Your doctor or diabetes nurse will work out how much insulin you need to have at home to last you 1 or 2 months." (NHS, storing and travelling with rapid-acting insulin). "Good hygiene is very important when making up a formula feed." (NHS, making up baby formula).
  7. Flood protection and sandbags. Lancashire County Council says: "The County Council has no statutory duty to provide sandbags to the public." "Residents are strongly encouraged to obtain their own sandbags and flood protection materials in advance." (Lancashire County Council, flooding support). That is Lancashire's policy only: check your own council's. GOV.UK describes its guide: "A guide to adapting your home or business to flooding, and how to pump water out of your property after a flood." (GOV.UK, prepare your property for flooding).

When a warning is issued

During

After

Alerts and who to call

| For | Contact | Source | |---|---|---| | Emergency | 999 | The safety line above | | "Floodline" | "Telephone: 0345 988 1188" | GOV.UK, help during a flood | | Power cuts | "Call 105 to be connected to your local network company for further advice." | British Red Cross, power cuts |

Local help

Insurance in one paragraph

Flood Re is not a government domain; it says: "Flood Re is a joint initiative between the Government and insurers. Its aim is to make the flood cover part of household insurance policies more affordable." (Flood Re). It adds: "The Flood Re Tool will tell you if your property might qualify for support." (Flood Re, find an insurer).

More guides

Gaps we know about